![]() ![]() ![]() THE MODELĪs a generational talent with high NFL draft capital, I went back to 2015 to find players in similar hype and situation, situations where the fresh RB was basically seen as “the guy” in their respective room. This kind of roster makeup is enough of a commonality that we can use it as an example of what can happen with this multi-year rebuilder, depending on their draft choice. ![]() At RB2 sits Chuba Hubbard, 2023’s RB53 and a much more fitting example of the type of player we can expect to see not just on a rebuilding team, but a team who’s picking at 1.01 in rookie drafts. Jimmy, a perennial low-QB2/high-QB3, is just the type of QB we could expect to find on a rebuilder. (RSJ Dynasty’s scoring format is half-PPR, 4pt passing TDs, no TEP) Our own silent assassin, CJay, enters ’23 in a multi-year rebuild, and not only that, has the roster that resembles a common look for a multi-year rebuilding squad, providing an optimal reference. Fortunately at RSJ, we can pull from our RSJ Dynasty League to provide an informative case study, as we hold our 2023 rookie draft this Monday, June 12th. With that much value on the line at the high end of the first round, it’s worth diving in and trying to find out if it’s worth the risk of losing 2024 draft positioning to get a top-tier running back, or if we should tell our fantasy team’s imaginary fans to “Trust The Process.”Īs with most things in life, making blanket declarations can be dangerous, case-by-case studies are the play, and dynasty league strategy is no different. ![]() Generally, trade calculator values reflect the same thought: as you start with the 1.01 and go down, the value gap between picks becomes smaller, so much that in this example dropping from the 1.04 to the 2.01 is exactly as much of a value drop as going from the 1.01 to the 1.04. So the question is, how bad could you possibly hurt your rebuilding team’s 2024 draft capital by going with Bijan over a good, but developing, quarterback? In this list of rookie draft pick values from we can get an idea of how much value you could lose in this situation: In this exercise we’ll only look at the QB and RB positions, but the logic works for comparing WR and TE as well. In 2023, if you’re not going with Robinson at 1.01 in your Superflex league, then most certainly you’re taking one of the top three quarterbacks. We still see it take time with tight ends and quarterbacks, and used to see it more with wide receivers, but the last several years have seen highly-touted receivers break out as rookies. Running back, especially studs at the position, are generally known to take the least amount of time to get acclimated to the pro game and produce at a high level. Bijan becomes the final piece, your team is no longer a rebuild, and you can hit the ground running.īut, what if you know that your team is rebuilding beyond 2023? In a dream scenario, the timing works out just right for a rebuilding dynasty team sitting at 1.01, looking at 2023 as the year they become competitive or even a bona fide contender. It might sound crazy, but is there any situation where Bijan isn’t the right choice for someone’s dynasty team? THE SCENARIO Regarded as a generational talent, he fits the mold for anyone sitting at 1.01 in rookie drafts and looking to take the best player available. In ’23, Bijan Robinson has been the consensus pick at 1.01 in rookie drafts by the dynasty fantasy community, in 1QB and Superflex leagues. This article looks at a frequent situation that happens during rookie drafts - the majority-approved choice at the rookie 1.01 as a stud running back, and the holder of the 1.01 in the depths of a rebuild. ![]()
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